This is from an email sent out by the campaign this morning about the "flawed" Sun poll...
"This morning The Baltimore Sun published a poll that directly conflicts with all the trend lines in this campaign. We cannot let a flawed poll deter Marylanders from voting for strong leadership on November 2nd, Consider this: A month ago, a Washington Post poll showed Bob Ehrlich down by 11 points. Two weeks ago, a Rasmussen poll showed Bob Ehrlich narrowing Martin O'Malley's lead to 8 points. Just five days ago, a Gonzales poll showed Bob Ehrlich closing the gap yet again to just five points. After six months of dishonest attack ads from Martin O'Malley, Bob Ehrlich has consistently closed the gap with a concrete plan to get Maryland working again. Bob takes clear momentum in to the final days of this campaign."
I have two reactions.
First, you can't really take polls with disparate methodologies and use them to glean evidence of "trend lines." The only observable trend is that O'Malley seems to be consistently leading.
Second, if things were trending in Ehrlich's direction, their internal polling would have shown it, and they would have released it to Blair Lee or some other friendly media source.