So, late this afternoon, Henry Fawell, Team Ehrlich's Communications Director, released the following statement:
"Contrary to what The Baltimore Sun and Washington Post want you to believe, this race is extremely close. A survey commissioned by the Ehrlich campaign shows that as of yesterday, the campaign for governor was statistically tied among those most likely to vote. That’s right: 47 percent of the most likely voters support O’Malley and 44 percent support Bob Ehrlich, with a margin of error of 4 percent."
Bob Ehrlich's pollster of record, Public Opinion Strategies, is a very reputable firm that has polled for Ehrlich ever since his first bid for Congress in 1994. So, assuming they did this particular poll, I wouldn't dismiss such results out of hand just because they do not align with the other three recent polls.
But, I am wondering...if Team Ehrlich really wants to rebut the Post, Sun, and Rasmussen polls (even though the Rasmussen survey is pointedly not mentioned in the statement above), it should produce the entire poll referenced in the statement and not just allude to it. That way, the poll's results and methodologies can be adequately compared against the two polls Team Ehrlich describes as "flawed."
Perhaps this has happened, and Blair Lee will discuss it in his column Friday (that's who I'd give it to were I them). We'll see.